r/neoliberal • u/Currymvp2 unflaired • 6d ago
Scoop: U.S. raises concerns about attacks on minorities with new Syrian government News (Middle East)
https://www.axios.com/2024/12/30/syria-us-meeting-attacks-alawites42
u/Currymvp2 unflaired 6d ago edited 6d ago
By minorities, this article means it's mostly Alawites. Christians and Druze have been treated relatively well so far apparently
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u/Legodude293 United Nations 6d ago
Makes sense, Druze and Christians were much more involved in early anti regime protests, for many Sunnis Alawites are synonymous with the regime
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u/chitowngirl12 6d ago
It seems like there were some excesses dealing with arrested regime holdovers. And yes, it is good to remind everyone that you have to arrest even bad people under the laws of the Geneva Convention.
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u/kaesura 6d ago edited 6d ago
From the experts, the levels of sectarian violence are far below expected levels.Especially since hts foot soldiers basically all have family members killed by the assad regime who delibaretly made alawites vastly over reprsented in the security appartus. Positioning it that alawites had to be brutual towards civilians to avoid being killed by the angry sunni majority
Syria across sects are unified in celebration of the assad regime being gone. HTS has come out and said they will only proscute the worst offenders and gave all conscripts amnnesty. Despite that, there is a big viral campaign to promote sectarian violence to takedown the new regime
Alot of the viral videos are old , aren't hts ( old videos of Assad or isis, news one sna and bandits impersonating hts ).There has been some unacceptable violence but far below expected levels and frankly at the level found in almost every military.
hts soldiers are primarily beating up some armed militants that resist arrest. hts are primarily arresting two groups .
The first the most infamous war criminals in Syria . This isn't just Alawites but also Sunnis .But these people are basically Syrian Nazis . They spread social media posts feeding prisoners to their pet lion. Or are known for massacring dozens of children . When this happens, soldiers across all countries whose families have been killed by people like them , aren't going to be nice arresting them let alone in the middle east.
Second group are Alawite/Sunni militias/crime gangs that have refused to disband. These militias have been ambushing hts soldiers including killing 14 in one day. In return , hts used classic anti insurgency tactics against these militias . Suspects who resisted arrest after shooting at hts soldiers are often beat up.
At the same time , hts has been careful to not abusive civilian or demobilized soldiers . With officers punishing soldiers who do so and hts has been holding sessions with local Alawite leadership to ensure mutual safety .
Lastly , this burst of violence has already calmed down . Hts show of force encouraged militants to turn on their guns to reconciliation centers. The Alawite militias realized they couldn't fight back. In return , hts has deceased their sweeps Alawite leaders also put out statements supporting hts and denouncing violence .
So this complaint is rich coming from the state department who was in talks to normalize with the Assad regime who committed 100x this stuff daily
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
How is rich coming for the state department to raise this issue?
We raise issues with all our Middle East partners when they do bad things despite working with them.
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u/kaesura 6d ago
Mostly annoyed since USA hasn't even temporaily waived the sanctions cripplingly syria that were put on syria to get assad out. they can always put them back if the current government goes evil.
but right now, the government wants to improve electricity for everyone and improve other basic services. our sanctions literally prohibit anyone from doing so.
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
What? You expect sanction to be removed during a lame duck session and without knowing how the government will move forward?
And for that reason the state department should not raise human rights concerns? I am personally a realist think human rights concert is to heavily centred by the US and the west for that example but your logic does not follow.
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u/kaesura 6d ago
I am talking about temporary waivers on a sub section of the sanctions that were designed to topple a man who killed 600K of his population not to be make syria a better governed country than jordan.
and considering that the united states is not speaking out about israel firing on two different sets of unarmed protestors in newly occupied syrian territory, their words ring very hallow.
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
Lol 😂 good one let’s remove sanctions without knowing how the new government will govern.
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u/kaesura 6d ago
the sanctions could cause the new government to fall apart leading to a most worst situation
and the new government has already been governing better than the majority of middle eastern countries, including ones we are allied with.
i am advocating for temporary waivers that can easily be put back on the government turns evil.
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
The rebels that took down Assad that now have more resources are at risk of collapsing?
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u/kaesura 6d ago
so many new governments fall apart because they aren't able to deliver basic services for their population. funding the military isn't the problem.
the issue is the civilian population running out of fuel for their electricity generators since that was supplied by iran. cities losing access to electricity is exactly something that can cause societal wide unrest and is extremely preventable.
do you want to push the new government back into the arms of iran and russia because they can actually supply them with basic things that the sanctions prohibit?
temporarily lifting sanctions to allow surges in humanitarian aid is the smart thing for the usa to do but the usa refuses.
minorities care far more about reliable electricity verus a few dozen torturers and mass murders getting beaten up.
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
Humanitarian aid are exempt from sanction the state department has a history of giving billions of aid even under Assad.
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
Dude the state department and White House sees worse stuff like this all the time. This is normal in Middle East and areas similar to Syria. A quote that stuck with me from a former CIA “the world is an evil and barbaric place based on his daily briefings and we cannot save everyone”.
My cope to feel better after seeing some of the videos that terrorized me is they were people in the old regime who committed the same actions.
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u/memeintoshplus Paul Samuelson 5d ago
What action would you even propose in this circumstance? It's worthwhile to monitor since HTS and affiliated groups are groups that have an iffy relationship to the minority groups in Syria historically, to say the least.
That doesn't mean there's any reason or justification to actively intervene because how would we do so and for what benefit?
The only action I see the U.S. taking moving forward is one where we determine our non-military relationship with the new government on the basis of soft power, such as trade, humanitarian aid, etc. We also should continue to shore up the Kurds, regardless of how the new government turns out.
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u/sanity_rejecter NATO 6d ago
called it before, calling it now, syria will just end up like saudi arabia or something
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u/kaesura 6d ago
Foreign minister walked that back and they appointed a female central bank governor. More senior female appointment than anything in the Assad regime
Their diversity pick just ended up being an idiot
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u/chitowngirl12 6d ago
The DEI pick for women's minister turned out to be Syrian Phyllis Schlafly. But let's face it. It isn't like HTS knows any actual feminists.
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
If Syria is like Saudi then that’s a huge W and improvement. We can only be so lucky.
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u/Creative_Hope_4690 6d ago
I seen some of the videos by accident it’s plain torture. The US got 10x shit for doing 1% of what I seen in those videos. I guess the standard is 10x higher for the west.