Pollster Ann Selzer ending election polling, moving 'to other ventures and opportunities'

[u/BastianMobile]

https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/2024/11/17/ann-selzer-conducts-iowa-poll-ending-election-polling-moving-to-other-opportunities/76334909007/

[u/TheChinchilla914]

>Be a reputable pollster for decades

>absolutely shit the entire bed in 2024

>refuse to elaborate

>leave

[u/gnivriboy → u/TheChinchilla914]

She did the same thing she did in previous years. She got it really wrong. Now she doesn't feel like doing this passion project anymore.

All this makes sense to me.

[u/TheChinchilla914 → u/gnivriboy]

I think had a good pre-Trump cohort and/or sampling methodology that just aged out and broke over time

I don’t think she’s a lucky idiot like some said but I do question publishing such a prima facie outlier without explaining more how you got there

[u/UnfairCrab960 → u/TheChinchilla914]

She used to publish outliers all the time and be proven right. This one was just way off

[u/gnivriboy → u/TheChinchilla914]

but I do question publishing such a prima facie outlier without explaining more how you got there

Did you not watch any interviews with her? She reminded people she is just doing the same thing she always did. There is no secret sauce and it is public to everyone. They are welcome to do the same thing.