r/worldnews • u/DomesticErrorist22 • 1d ago

Preliminary investigation confirms Russian missile caused Azerbaijan Airlines crash Russia/Ukraine

https://www.euronews.com/2024/12/26/exclusive-preliminary-investigation-confirms-russian-missile-over-grozny-caused-aktau-cras
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u/msemen_DZ 1d ago

There will be zero repercussions for this, just like the other incidents.

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u/shaj_hulud 1d ago

It was an a Azeri plane. So it should be the Azeris who will be furious. But I believe that the propaganda there is equal to that in russia, so they might never know the truth.

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u/Fandorin 1d ago edited 1d ago

Azerbaijan is not aligned with Russia. In fact, they are responsible for breaking Armenia off from the Russian axis and making Russia look impotent. They also hate Iran. Aliyev will make sure this gets a lot of traction unless there's something big in it for him. Post-Soviet geopolitics is very confusing and messy.

Edit: just saw an AP news alert that Azerbaijan is observing a day of mourning today because of this. It's not getting buried.

Edit 2: I love that the two replies currently up for my comment state the polar opposite of each other (Russia and Azerbaijan moving closer, and drifting farther apart), and are both plausible. Like I said, it's very complex and hard to predict.

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u/aceofspades1217 1d ago

Turkey and the Azeris are tight so between this and Syria looks like Turkey and Russia are going father apart

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u/code_archeologist 1d ago

Turkey has aspirations of reclaiming the glory of the Ottoman Empire and becoming the regional power of the Eastern Mediterranean, Caucuses, and Middle East.

Which with their military alliances would make them an existential threat to Putin and his aspirations.

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u/Swaps_are_the_worst 1d ago

Turkey is a natural counter to Russia, that is why they have been enemies for 300 years before WW1 and a natural Ally to NATO

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u/nagrom7 1d ago

They were enemies during WW1 too.

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u/oranurpianist 1d ago

Greek here.

This is correct.

You 'll know when Turkey is about to invade Greece by the sudden spike on "greek neonazis a threat to Turkey" titles. Also, by the massively upvoted "opinions" offering a well-rounded analysis on how those unscrupulous greeks had it coming.

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u/code_archeologist 1d ago

It is highly unlikely that Erdogan will sign off on invading Greece. He will rattle the sword with the best of them; but using soft power, alliances, and military support to stand up client governments is providing them success with little to no risk.

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u/Figgy_Puddin_Taine 1d ago

It’d be fucked up if they did. Would the rest of NATO jump in to defend Greece from another NATO country? I can’t imagine that they wouldn’t, but I’m nowhere near informed or knowledgeable enough to make an assessment on that. With that said, I figure your thoughts on saber-rattling, soft power, etc. is probably closest to the truth.

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u/Thundercock627 1d ago

Hell they’d probably fix Greece.

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u/pohui 1d ago

The fact that Russia didn't intervene on behalf of Armenia will only bring Russia and Azerbaijan closer. Not to speak of the gas deals.

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u/SphericalCow531 1d ago

Azerbaijan still made Russia look like fools in Armenia. Surely Azerbaijan made no friends in Moscow, by their actions?

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u/ILoveLamp9 1d ago

I mean, you’re not incorrect in what you’ve stated but it sounds like you’re implying Azerbaijan opened its doors to Armenia to move away from Russia. Important to note it was through war, ethnic cleansing, and a total collapse of regional security that Armenia decided to start moving away from Russia and towards the West. It wasn’t friendly terms.

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u/Fandorin 1d ago

I think most people that post here are at least tangentially aware of the 2 most recent wars where Azerbaijan invaded Armenia, and Russia, Armenia's supposed ally, did absolutely nothing. But you are completely correct and I should be more explicit - the Azerbaijan invasion of Nagorno-Karabakh destroyed the Russian-Armenian alliance by invading, Russia doing nothing while a supposed mutual ally (Belarus) supplies weapons to the aggressor, showing to the world that Russia cannot help an ally, and leading Armenia to look West for security.