r/neoliberal NATO Nov 17 '24

Pollster Ann Selzer ending election polling, moving 'to other ventures and opportunities' News (US)

https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/2024/11/17/ann-selzer-conducts-iowa-poll-ending-election-polling-moving-to-other-opportunities/76334909007/
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u/justbuildmorehousing Norman Borlaug Nov 17 '24

Ill forever be shocked that ‘the best pollster in America’ missed her final poll by 17 points when she had been so accurate every other year. Man I thought that (and some other indicators) meant we were finally getting a general polling error in our favor

Now we have a pedo getting nominated for AG

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u/Goldenboy451 NATO Nov 17 '24

Yeah I don't think it was at all unwarranted to think that she was on to something with her poll that other outlets had missed given her track record. Being off by 17 points is an astonishing break in form.

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u/PM_me_ur_digressions Audrey Hepburn Nov 17 '24

And we had all the alarm bells ringing about herding being a thing so having an outlier triggered all of the like "oh those other polls are just herding, Selzer is right"