Pollster Ann Selzer ending election polling, moving 'to other ventures and opportunities'

[u/BastianMobile]

https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/story/opinion/columnists/2024/11/17/ann-selzer-conducts-iowa-poll-ending-election-polling-moving-to-other-opportunities/76334909007/

[u/the_walrus_was_paul]

The comments on /r/Iowa were pretty funny when this poll came out.

https://www.reddit.com/r/Iowa/s/vslxXWD8RR

Every single other poll and the aggregators had Trump winning. This was clearly an outlier. I don’t care how good she has been in the past, it was so out of line with every single other piece of data, it was ridiculous.

[u/West-Code4642 → u/the_walrus_was_paul]

Including her own previous month poll

[u/Juvisy7 → u/the_walrus_was_paul]

Seeing that level of detail exuberance is literally depressing. I need a drink all over again 😔

[u/fsukub → u/the_walrus_was_paul]

The crazy thing is, if this is the result most people won’t notice because we’re all going to be talking about blue Texas and Florida. If Trump is within 5 points in Iowa, where he should win by 10, he comfortably loses the election and probably most if not all swing states.

Oof.

[u/Superkebabi → u/the_walrus_was_paul]

She had the cojones to publish a poll and not just arbitrarily adjust the results she got when it was an outlier.

She’s probably bailing on the job because it’s labour intensive, and people expect her to be an oracle instead of just someone that’s good at getting people to answer questions in Iowa.