r/neoliberal • u/RabidGuillotine PROSUR • Oct 14 '24

The Impending Betrayal of Ukraine Opinion article (non-US)

https://rusi.org/explore-our-research/publications/commentary/impending-betrayal-ukraine

407 Upvotes

96% Upvoted

198

u/lietuvis10LTU Why do you hate the global oppressed? Oct 14 '24

The Western EU members of NATO have quite frankly blatantly shown themselves to be the weak link, barring Hungary of course. It is terrifying. Should Lithuania be attacked, personally, I am not 100% certain Germany would come to our aid, no matter how many tripwire forces get killed.

79

u/ynab-schmynab Oct 15 '24

Should Czechoslovakia be attacked, personally, I am not 100% certain Britain and France would come to our aid, no matter how many tripwire forces get killed.

I've seen how this ride ends, can I get off now

38

u/Rethious Carl von Clausewitz Oct 15 '24

Crucially, there were no tripwire forces. Give me a heroically killed Anglo-French battalion and the war’s over in ‘38.

2

u/ynab-schmynab Oct 15 '24

Eh, delayed maybe. The powder keg was already put in place and his ego wouldn't tolerate backing down. The false flag radio attack may have just happened in the Sudetenland instead of the Polish border.

3

u/Rethious Carl von Clausewitz Oct 15 '24

Thing is, a lot changed in the German army from 1938-39. Czech weapons and industry were used to rebuild. The Czechs also have a lot more of a defensible frontier than the Poles did. A war with the Allies and Czechs would be a complete nightmare for the Germans (the Poles could intervene at any time). If war had broken out in ‘38, the Generals had resolved to kill Hitler rather than fight it out. Even waiting, there’s a good chance. They almost did it during the phony war but for a misunderstanding.